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THE RUNDOWN

You've probably seen the headline version of this story a dozen times this year: company cuts jobs, blames AI, moves on. What you haven't seen as much is the sequel, where the company quietly hires people back a few months later because the AI couldn't actually do the job.

That sequel just got a number attached to it. Nearly a third of US hiring managers who eliminated a role because of AI have already rehired for that same position, and Gartner expects half of all "AI layoffs" to end the same way by 2027.

Today we get into why that's happening, plus a fresh batch of hiring, funding, and contract signals, real data on what AI side income actually pays (versus what the ads promise), and a prompt to help you tell the difference.

Let's get into it.

Quick Signals

  • Amazon is building a robotics manufacturing plant in Austin, a multi-billion-dollar facility expected to create 300 to 500 engineering and manufacturing jobs. Texas keeps positioning itself as the place AI infrastructure spending turns into actual local hiring.

  • The IPO market is having its best year on record. 232 companies have gone public in the US so far in 2026, Q2 was the biggest IPO quarter ever at $104.8 billion raised, and Anthropic is reportedly prepping its own filing for later this year. When the exit window opens this wide, equity comp at pre-IPO companies stops being a lottery ticket and starts being a real number.

    A new brain-science study found GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic may reduce alcohol cravings by acting on a region called the lateral septum, not just suppressing appetite the way everyone assumed. It's preliminary, mostly animal data plus one small human trial, but it's rewriting what these drugs are actually doing in the brain.

  • A new research review found most teens using AI companion chatbots for emotional support never tell anyone, and the bots fail to recommend professional help in over 40% of cases where a user shows real distress. The EU's new rule requiring AI to disclose it isn't human just took full effect this month, which tells you how far behind the guardrails are.

  • Nvidia reports earnings this Wednesday, August 26, with Wall Street expecting around $94 billion in revenue, up roughly 96% year over year. Whatever number lands will move hiring sentiment across the entire AI supply chain for weeks, not just the stock.

Opportunity Flow

Hiring

  • IBM is tripling its entry-level hiring across US business units in 2026, reversing course after leaning too hard on AI for HR and junior work.

  • Figma is hiring a Manager, Product for its Code team, per weekly product-leadership hiring trackers.

  • Robinhood is hiring a Chief of Staff for its Brokerage Product org, and Affirm is hiring a Director-level Chief of Staff for Product (remote, $226K-$335K).

  • Twilio is hiring a Staff PM for Enterprise AI, and Google has an open Lead Group PM role for Ads and Commerce Payments Risk.

Funding

  • Etched raised a $700 million Series D on August 18, led by Jane Street, to keep building chips purpose-built for AI inference.

  • Groq raised a $350 million Series A on August 17 for its AI inference chips.

  • Wispr Flow raised a $280 million Series B on August 17, led by Menlo Ventures.

  • Twelve Labs raised a $100 million Series B, co-led by NEA and Naver Ventures, for AI that understands video and audio. Series B+ rounds at this size typically mean a hiring push across engineering, sales, and ops within two quarters.

Contracts

  • M1 Support Services won a potential 26-year, $10 billion Army contract for rotary-wing flight training at Fort Rucker.

  • Accenture landed a $289 million Department of Energy operations and modernization task order, plus a separate Army commercial-managed-services contract.

  • Oracle Health Government Services picked up a $16.9 billion modification to the VA's Electronic Health Record Modernization contract.

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The Big Story

Companies that fired workers for AI are quietly hiring them back

Ford spent the last three years finding out the hard way. After leaning on automated systems to catch design and quality issues, the company hired back 350 veteran engineers because AI kept missing problems experienced humans would have caught. Ford's VP of vehicle hardware engineering said the company had assumed feeding AI its design requirements would produce quality work without human oversight. It didn't. Ford just posted its best score in JD Power's quality study since 2010.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia ran the same experiment on customer service. The bank cut 45 roles after an AI voice bot supposedly reduced call volume, then reversed the cuts weeks later when call volume kept climbing and remaining staff got buried in overtime. CBA's own statement admitted the "initial assessment... did not adequately consider all relevant business considerations."

IBM's version is more subtle and, honestly, more interesting. Its AskHR assistant resolves 94% of routine HR questions correctly. The remaining 6%, the ones requiring judgment calls or ethical nuance, still need a person. IBM's response wasn't to keep chasing that last 6% with better AI. It's tripling entry-level hiring across the US instead, because its CHRO put it plainly: skip junior hires now, and there's no pipeline of experienced people in three to five years.

None of this is a one-off. A recent Robert Half survey found 32% of hiring managers who eliminated a role because of AI have already rehired someone for that same job. Gartner is now forecasting that by 2027, half of the companies that blamed AI for a round of cuts will have rehired for similar work, usually under a new job title so nobody has to say the quiet part out loud.

Why it matters: the AI layoffs headline and the AI rehire headline are describing the same trend from two different points in its lifecycle. If your role got cut and the stated reason was AI, that doesn't mean the work disappeared, it might just mean the company is a few quarters away from realizing it still needs a human to do it. This week, if you're job hunting, don't rule out companies that made AI-driven cuts last year. Some of them are exactly the ones quietly rebuilding the team they just tore down.

Making Moves

What AI side income actually pays (not what the ads promise)

Scroll AI-side-hustle content for five minutes and you'll see numbers that don't match reality. The honest version: the median side hustle, AI or otherwise, brings in about $200 a month, and most people trying to monetize an AI skill in their first six months land somewhere between $500 and $1,000 a month.

The real money shows up in narrower lanes. Solo operators doing AI automation consulting for small businesses, or building custom chatbots for local companies, are reporting $5,000 to $15,000 a month once they have a handful of repeat clients. Expert freelance marketplaces like Mercor are paying $50 to $200 an hour for credentialed professionals, coders, doctors, lawyers, to do AI training and feedback work, a very different tier from the $12-to-$25-an-hour data-labeling gigs most people picture.

The FTC's Operation AI Comply has already shut down schemes that pulled at least $25 million from people chasing "AI passive income." The tells are consistent: upfront fees, promises of passive money, crypto-only payment, and recruitment pitches that show up unsolicited on WhatsApp or Telegram.

Why it matters: there's real money in AI-adjacent work, but it comes from a specific skill applied to a specific client problem, not from a course that promises to set it and forget it. If an opportunity can't tell you exactly what task you'd be doing for exactly which kind of client, that's the red flag, not the fine print.

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Try This Out

The AI Side Income Reality Check

Before you sink a weekend into a "make money with AI" opportunity, run it past this prompt:

I'm considering this AI-related income opportunity: [describe it, or paste the pitch/listing].

Evaluate it honestly:
1. What specific, repeatable task would I actually be doing, for what kind of client or platform?
2. Does the income structure depend on recruiting others, upfront payment, or "passive" claims? Flag any of those directly.
3. Based on similar real-world roles, what's a realistic monthly income range in the first 3-6 months, not the best-case example used to sell it?
4. What's the single fastest way to validate this is real before investing meaningful time or money?

Be specific and skeptical, not encouraging.

Works for freelance platforms, consulting pitches, or that DM that just landed in your inbox.

Predict This

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks at Jackson Hole this Thursday, August 27, in his most closely watched appearance since taking the seat. What tone does he strike on rate cuts?

  • Dovish — signals cuts are coming soon, markets rally

  • Cautious — acknowledges a cooling labor market but commits to nothing

  • Hawkish — holds the line on inflation risk, disappoints anyone hoping for near-term relief

(We've still got Wednesday's Nvidia earnings on deck too. Two big data points, one week. We'll grade both once the dust settles.)

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